As part of their campaign, Democratic party officials and activists have been urging supporters of the party's presidential nominee Joe Biden, to go out and vote for him, and tell others to do the same. Despite polls pointing to a Biden victory in the Nov. election, they realize these results do not confirm that President Donald Trump still can't win the presidential race.
One of the organizers told The Guardian that polls are nothing short of an illusion. For supports, regardless of which side of the presidential election they are on, the only sound advice at the moment is to go vote. Paying heed to this advice, a considerable number of people have already cast their ballots early, while some others are gearing up to vote in person on Nov. 3.
Political organizers say that until the dust has settled on the presidential election, it will be hard to determine whether or not the state-level polling provided a better picture of the race than it did back in 2016. However, the poll at the end of this year's presidential race tells a different story from the polls at the end of the 2016 presidential race, and it favorable result for Biden this time than it was for Hilary Clinton when she ran against Trump in 2016.
Biden has effortlessly led Trump in polls for several months, with swing states in the industrial Midwest and Sun Belt appearing to be leaning towards the Democratic nominee, and for those who trust the polls, it is only a matter of time before Biden wins 330+ electoral votes, POLITICO suggests. The burning question is, what if voters shouldn't trust the polls.
This presidential race is characterized by an unchanging polling graphic that shows a blue line above and a red one below, and they run in parallel, separated by about 8 points, for the entire year. These lines represent the average of the national polling of a head-to-head match-up between the two candidates, and it is worth noting that they have never intersected.
When Trump and Clinton went up against each other in 2016, the polling average regularly intersected, paving their way towards a conclusion that showed Trump trailing his rival by three points. Clinton even won the popular vote by two points.
The averages this time suggest Biden's lead is at least two or three times larger than that shown for Clinton in 2016. Moreover, this year's state-level polls also show larger leads for the former vice president in key battlegrounds than they did for Clinton.